29 Sep

Mike Trout Is A 430 Million Bargain

Trout’s most similar group averaged just fewer than 1.0 WAR by age 38. And that group contains eight Hall of Famers, including Griffey, Aaron, Mickey Mantle, Frank Robinson and Mel Ott. To further complicate matters, the quality of competition in MLB continues to improve over time, and the game is getting younger, making it more difficult to age well.However, if 1 WAR is worth $8 million in 2019, and that value inflates by 3 percent per season (for the first five seasons),2Basic assumptions which, granted, may need re-examining. the average of Trout’s comparable group would be worth about $450 million from age 27 through age 38. And it bears mentioning that Trout has accumulated 48 percent more WAR through age 26 than his comparable group of all-time legends. (Yes, Trout is good.)So Trout seems like a very good bet to deliver more value to the Angels than they’re paying him for in this contract, even if some of the assumptions above are more player-friendly than the current state of baseball’s economics. While many MLB mega-contracts end up looking bad in retrospect, this Trout deal might be the rare one that delivers positive surplus value for the team.Either way, with no opt-outs in the deal and a full no-trade clause, Trout and the Angels are committed to each other for the long haul. If Trout is interested in winning World Series rings, he took a risk in remaining in Anaheim: He has never won a playoff game with the Angels even while establishing himself at the game’s best player. As great as Trout has been, even the best player cannot do it alone — particularly not in baseball, which is a weak-link sport that is less dependent on star talent than other sports.But in some ways, the Angels’ outlook is improving for the second act of the Trout era. Albert Pujols’s albatross of a contract is coming off the books after the 2021 season — $28 million in present-day dead money the Angels can allocate elsewhere.The Angels entered Tuesday with $28 million committed in 2022 salaries, ranking 18th in baseball despite playing in the sport’s No. 2 market in Los Angeles. (The MLB average is $35.2 million committed in 2022, according to Spotrac.) So should the Angels want to compete in the market for high-end free-agent talent in coming years — like, say, Mookie Betts (free agency ETA 2021) or Francisco Lindor (free agency ETA 2022)3Angels shortstop Andrelton Simmons will be a free agent after 2020. — they will have the flexibility and purchasing power to do so. As reported by ESPN’s Jeff Passan on Tuesday, the Los Angeles Angels are closing in on a 12-year contract extension worth at least $430 million with outfielder Mike Trout, setting the all-time mark for both the largest contract (passing Bryce Harper’s $330 million deal from a few weeks ago) and the greatest average annual contract value in baseball history. Trout is a longtime object of fascination for us here at FiveThirtyEight; we’ve frequently extolled his virtues as baseball’s best and most consistent star. Now he has the record-breaking contract to match his talent — but one that might still represent a big bargain for the Angels. And the deal’s long-term nature only renews questions about Trout’s ability to win in L.A., as well as his potential to break through as a star off the field.At first glance, about $36 million per year seems like a tremendous deal for the Angels. According to FanGraphs’ estimated market values based on wins above replacement (WAR), a player with Trout’s 2018 production should have been worth about $79 million last season. That’s nothing new for Trout: FanGraphs estimates that he was worth $55 million (in 70 percent of a full season) in 2017, $78 million in 2016 and $74 million in 2016. So if Trout continues his recent pace, the Angels will basically be paying him half of what he’d be worth on the open market over the next few seasons.Of course, Trout is also 27 this year, traditionally the age at which baseball players peak. Trout’s new deal will take him through 2030, his age-38 season. Even though no player in baseball history has posted more career WAR through their age-26 season than Trout,1According to a mix of WAR from FanGraphs and Baseball-Reference.com. it’s probably safe to assume that Trout won’t continue to be a 10-WAR-per-season machine throughout the entire life of this contract.The old saying that “Father Time is undefeated” remains true — perhaps truer now than ever. And even star-level players peak more quickly than you might expect. While Willie Mays and Hank Aaron were superstars late into their careers, other outfielders similar to Trout — such as Ken Griffey Jr. and Andruw Jones — fell off a performance cliff after age 30 and never recovered.Here’s a plot of the 10 retired outfielders most similar to Trout through age 26 (according to The Baseball Gauge), along with the arcs of their seasonal WAR as aging took hold: Perhaps most important for the club’s long-term prospects is the productivity of its farm system. For much of Trout’s tenure with the Angels, the club had one of the worst farm systems in baseball. The Angels’ system ranked last in baseball in 2014, 2016 and 2017, according to Baseball America. That’s begun to change. The Angels hired Billy Eppler to lead their front office after the 2015 season; they improved to 14th in the rankings in 2018 and 13th this spring.Outfielder Jo Adell, L.A.’s first-round pick in 2017, has quickly become one of the game’s elite prospects, while starter Griffin Canning, a second-round pick in 2017, gives the Angels a second top-100 prospect. And help from the farm is not too far away: Eight of the top 10 Angels prospects are expected to open in Double-A or higher this spring. Moreover, if the Angels’ top prospect from a year ago, Shohei Ohtani, can become a consistent impact performer as a pitcher and hitter, L.A. could have two star caliber players in one roster spot.The Angels’ biggest long-term issue is that they are in the same division as the Houston Astros, who are on the cutting edge of evaluation and player development. The Astros took home the 2017 World Series trophy, won 103 games a year ago project to win 99 games again this season according to the FiveThirtyEight model, all while maintaining a farm system that has ranked fifth or better in three of the past four years. Baseball America ranks the Astros’ farm system No. 5 in the game entering 2019.It will be no easy task to supplant the Astros as kings of the AL West. And if Trout and the Angels can’t do that, it will be more difficult for Trout to raise his own profile, which lags well behind what his talent would suggest. Only one baseball player made ESPN’s list of the 100 most famous athletes in the world, and it wasn’t Trout — it was Bryce Harper at No. 99. This contract extension makes Trout very rich, but it also forces him to forfeit the chance to join a more likely World Series contender — and he’ll miss out on the spotlight that would have shown on him during his own free agency after the 2020 season.So now the pressure is even greater for the Angels to surround Trout with better talent and build a winner around him. By the end of this contract, he’ll have spent two full decades with the franchise. It would be a true shame if Trout’s next 12 seasons contain as little team success as his first eight did. read more

17 Sep

PNP Opposition Premier has got the Power

first_img Related Items:#consumerprotection, #PriceGouging, #washingtonmisick Recommended for you Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppPROVIDENCIALES, Turks and Caicos – October 26, 2017 –  Price gouging took center stage and front page when media had a press debriefing with Premier Sharlene Robinson about the act which has left residents incensed and outraged; especially as it charged to have happened at a time when the nation was facing two deadly, monster hurricanes.However, the Premier and Finance Minister’s published comments about price control has rubbed the Opposition Leader the wrong way, he says Hon Robinson has forgotten that the law was brought and passed in Parliament in October 2016 when Rufus Ewing was Premier and when he was the Finance Minister.Hon Washington Misick said there is no absence of legislation and called the Premier’s remarks to media, ‘double speak’.  He said in a statement, “The truth is that it is within the Premier’s power, and has been for the last ten months to address price gouging (through regulation) which is already provided for under the Consumer Protection Ordinance passed by the HOA in October 2016.”And Mr. Misick should know, he is the former Finance Minister who introduced the bill and saw it passed on the heels of the House being dissolved ahead of the December 2016 General Elections.The now, Leader of Opposition business said four things need to happen to protect the consumer from unscrupulous vendors including advising the Governor of the assent to the Order; approving Price Control regulations which can come in full or in part as provided for in the law; appoint a Deputy Permanent Secretary of Finance to be the Director of Consumer Affairs with a staff assigned to support and he says,  a Consumer Protection Appeal Board should be established. TCI: Washy says 2020 is his last stand in front-line politics Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp TCI: Progressive National Party Leader ‘Washy’ Misick not banned from RTC TCI: Washy, Calvin, Jay Morley and Bishop Coleta; new executive of Opposition PNPlast_img read more

5 Sep

India callup coming up Shubman Gill makes a huge statement with recordbreaking

first_imgAlthough Shubman Gill is not part of the Indian team, the youngster has been scoring runs for fun against the West Indies ‘A’, which seems to be the best way to make selectors give one a nod.Gill made history when he became the youngest Indian cricketer to score a first-class double ton, after he smashed a double century against West Indies A. He broke the long-standing record of former Indian batsman Gautam Gambhir.India A was in trouble when they lost 3 quick wickets but Gill, along with his captain Hanuma Vihari, brought their side back on track with a superb partnership. The young right-hander scored an unbeaten 204 off 250 deliveries and zoomed past Gambhir’s record, which was set against Zimbabwe in a tour match back in 2002. Gill-Vihari partnership resurrected India’s innings Shubman GillMARTY MELVILLE/AFP/Getty ImagesIndia A resumed at the overnight score of 23 for three. Gill lost his partner Shahbaz Nadeem for 13 when Hanuma Vihari joined him in the middle. The two resurrected the Indian innings and Vihari too brought up his century as they shared an unbeaten partnership of 315 runs for the fifth wicket.As soon as Gill went past his double ton, Vihari declared the innings. West Indies were 37 for no loss at the end of the day’s play as they looked to chase down 373 to clinch the match on the final day. Young Gill was one of the strongest contenders to find a spot in the Indian team as the selectors were looking to blood in young names for the ODI unit after India’s ouster from the semi-finals of the World Cup. However, he did not find a spot and the right-hander expressed his disappointment at missing out on selection despite a string of good scores. Hanuma VihariGetty”I was waiting for the Indian senior team to be announced on Sunday and I expected to be selected for at least one of the squads,” Gill told CricketNext. “It was disappointing not to get picked but I am not going to spend time thinking over it. I’ll keep scoring runs and performing to the best of my ability to impress the selectors.”Prior to the Test series, he had finished the one-day series as the top run-getter with 218 runs in four matches, averaging 54.50 with a strike rate of 98.19. He hit three half-centuries and was also adjudged the Man of the Series.last_img read more

3 Sep

PM Hasina says DhakaDelhi relations at its best

first_imgPrime minister Sheikh Hasina. File PhotoPrime minister Sheikh Hasina on Monday said relations between Bangladesh and India have now reached a new height as both the countries duly value each other.The prime minister said this when state executive member and adviser to president BJP, West Bengal, India Anindya Gopal Mitra met her at her office.The prime minister’s press secretary Ihsanul Karim briefed reporters after the meeting.He said Mitra also echoed the observation of the prime minister on the Indo-Bangladesh relations.Sheikh Hasina said the people of Bangladesh always express their gratitude towards the Indian government and people for their all-out support to Bangladesh and its people during the liberation war in 1971.After the assassination father of the nation Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman on 15 August 1975 the real history of the country was distorted. “One generation was completely kept in the dark the country’s history,” she said.The prime minister mentioned that the new generation of the country is very much aware and they learned the real history.Mitra told the prime minister that he was a young politician during the Liberation War of Bangladesh, and apprised her about the role he played during war.Earlier, Mitra expressed his profound respect to Bangabandhu through garlanding on his picture kept in the PM office.Principal secretary M Nojibur Rahman and PMO secretary Sajjadul Hassan were present during the meeting.last_img read more

31 Aug

Astronomers discover superEarth planet orbiting nearby star

first_img Explore further Phase folded curve of the planetary signal detected in GJ 625 using the parameters of the MCMC model. Left panel shows the CCF measurements, right panel the TERRA measurements. Grey dots show the measurements after subtracting the detected activity induced signals. Red dots are the same points binned in phase with a bin size of 0.1. The error bar of a given bin is estimated using the weighted standard deviation of binned measurements divided by the square root of the number of measurements included in this bin. Blue line shows the best fit to the data using a Keplerian model. Credit: Mascareño et al., 2017. Scientists discover a nearby superearth This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only. “Super-Earths” are planets more massive than Earth but not exceeding the mass of Neptune. Although the term “super-Earth” refers only to the mass of the planet, it is also used by astronomers to describe planets bigger than Earth but smaller than the so-called “mini-Neptunes” (with a radius between two to four Earth-radii).Located only 21 light years away, GJ 625 is an M-dwarf star (spectral type M2) about 1/3 the size and mass of the sun. Such stars offer great potential in the search for alien Earth-like worlds, as low-mass rocky planets appear to be more frequent around M-dwarfs. However, finding an Earth-like planet orbiting low-mass stars is difficult due to their stellar activity. This is because signals induced by the rotation of a star can easily mimic those of planetary origin. Therefore, the signals coming from M-dwarfs tend to be comparable to those of rocky planets close to the habitable zone of their stars.Recently, a team of astronomers led by Alejandro Suarez Mascareño of the Canary Islands Institute of Astrophysics, has completed challenging studies of GJ 625, which began in 2013 and lasted over three and a half years. The observations were conducted with the High Accuracy Radial velocity Planet Searcher for the Northern hemisphere (HARPS-N) spectrograph installed at the Telescopio Nazionale Galileo at the Roque de los Muchachos Observatory on the island of La Palma, Canary Islands, Spain.The researchers analyzed 151 radial-velocity time series from HARPS-N as part of the HArps-n red Dwarf Exoplanet Survey (HADES) radial velocity program, which resulted in the discovery of a new planet.”We report the discovery of a super-Earth orbiting at the inner edge of the habitable zone of the star GJ 625 based on the analysis of the radial-velocity (RV) time series from the HARPS-N spectrograph, consisting in 151 HARPS-N measurements taken over 3.5 yr,” the paper reads.The newly found alien world, designated GJ 625 b, has a minimum mass of 2.8 Earth masses, which makes it the lightest exoplanet found around an M2 star to date. The planet orbits its host every 14.6 days at a distance of approximately 0.08 AU from the star, which is relatively close. By comparison, Mercury orbits the sun at a mean distance of 0.38 AU. The results of radial velocity measurements allowed the team to conclude that GJ 625 b is a small “super-Earth” on the inner edge of the habitable zone and has a mean surface temperature of 350 K that is very dependent on the atmospheric parameters. Moreover, the researchers assume that the newly detected exoworld might potentially host liquid water, but more observations focused on GJ 625 b’s atmosphere are required to confirm this assumption. (Phys.org)—European astronomers report the detection of a new extrasolar world several times more massive than Earth. The newly found exoplanet, classified as a so-called “super-Earth,” is circling a nearby star designated GJ 625. The researchers detailed their finding in a paper published May 18 on arXiv.org. Citation: Astronomers discover ‘super-Earth’ planet orbiting nearby star (2017, May 29) retrieved 18 August 2019 from https://phys.org/news/2017-05-astronomers-super-earth-planet-orbiting-nearby.html More information: HADES RV Programme with HARPS-N at TNG: V. A super-Earth on the inner edge of the habitable zone of the nearby M-dwarf GJ 625, arXiv:1705.06537 [astro-ph.EP] arxiv.org/abs/1705.06537AbstractWe report the discovery of a super-Earth orbiting at the inner edge of the habitable zone of the star GJ 625 based on the analysis of the radial-velocity (RV) time series from the HARPS-N spectrograph, consisting in 151 HARPS-N measurements taken over 3.5 yr. GJ 625 b is a planet with a minimum mass M sin i of 2.82 ± 0.51 M⊕ with an orbital period of 14.628 ± 0.013 days at a distance of 0.078 AU of its parent star. The host star is the quiet M2 V star GJ 625, located at 6.5 pc from the Sun. We find the presence of a second radial velocity signal in the range 74-85 days that we relate to stellar rotation after analysing the time series of Ca II H&K and Hα spectroscopic indicators, the variations of the FWHM of the CCF and and the APT2 photometric light curves. We find no evidence linking the short period radial velocity signal to any activity proxy. © 2017 Phys.orglast_img read more

31 Aug

Flaunt your denims right

first_imgIf you feel more comfortable in your denims, invest in a comfortable pair of jogg jeans or zero gravity jeans and pair them with the check shirts or solid hues of polo t-shirts, suggest experts. Invest in a pair of jogg jeans which is one of the revolutionary inventions in the denim industry, with a wide range to choose from. Be it cuffed or straight hem, a draw string waist or a normal waist. These can be worn with checkered or solid shirts or can be matched with polo t-shirts. Also Read – Add new books to your shelfZero gravity jeans are another option if you are looking for something weightless and super comfortable in every position. The fabric is specially designed in lighter gsm (grams per square metre) and are so compact that it looks like normal denim but gives the comfort of a chino.These can be paired with your semi formals and can also be worn to the office with linen blend shirts to hit the club in the evening.Coloured jeans is a new extension to an indigo wardrobe. Available in many hues, they wash well and look amazing. Team it with shirts or t-shirts in solids, stripes and checks. Also Read – Over 2 hours screen time daily will make your kids impulsiveShow your man ankles. Try the coolest new trend in denim fits. Slim fit jeans these days have a cropped length that’s urban, playful, trendy and real easy to go with your plain coloured t-shirt and trendy white sneakers.Cuff your skinny jeans as the 1980’s fun time is back. Excess jeans length going under your shoes is not in trend now. Instead, roll them up or give them two neat folds which would be a perfect relaxed look for this summer.Loose jeans is completely out of trend and long gone and forgotten. Get into skinny fit jeans paired with a slim fit shirt and loafers. This look would be perfect for an evening with friends or family.Black is here to stay. They are never out of fashion. With athleisure fashion taking center stage, black jeans in all its shades are the must-haves for this season.last_img read more